Giving Blogs a Bad Name
Ever thought bloggers were insane? Here's proof.
2004 Presidential battleground analyzed by a grizzled campaign veteran and Ohio's Top Targeted Undecided Perfectly Predictive Swing Voter - His Mom.
Ever thought bloggers were insane? Here's proof.
Before yesterday, the Ohio Democratic Party (ODP) was a pathetic joke. We never thought it could get worse. It got worse.
No one's conceding yet, but......
The margin as of 8 a.m. is about 135,000 votes. There are about that many provisional ballots outstanding, some counties provisionals not reported, plus overseas abentees.
Race is over. Mom's voting for Kerry.
Kerry will win Ohio by 1.8 points or more on November 2. How do I get there?
The latest forecast for Northeast Ohio on election day is about as bad as it gets. Chilly with heavy rain and strong wind all day. Only way it could be worse is if it was snow.
You know how pundits like to say that they can't imagine how anyone, ANYONE AT ALL, could POSSIBLY still be undecided this election year? Apparently that doesn't apply to the Plain Dealer.
Apologies for the dusty appearance of the blog lately. I've got better things to do.
Republican voter suppression is a national strategy. There has to be a memo somewhere to prove it.
At the Starbucks in Cleveland’s warehouse district where Jerry Springer and I sat down to talk, people regularly stopped to wave and ask Jerry when he was going to run for office.
OhioCountdown2004 scored an exclusive interview with Jerry Springer, talk show host and soon to be candidate for Ohio Governor in 2006. Stay tuned.
Ohio Republican Secretary of State Ken Blackwell lost his case to prevent provisional voting in Ohio yesterday. Guess what. He appealed to federal circuit court.
Disengaging as most swing voters probably are, my mom flipped between the final debate and baseball games last night. She still says she isn't gonna vote, but left the door open just a touch, in her own, endearing way.
All the talk of the impending electoral manipulation reminded me of a story from my 1992 campaign experience.
Desperation is setting in among Republicans, and their ugly side is starting to show. Democratic HQ in Toledo was broken into yesterday...the thieves stole key computers and ransacked the office.
The Bush Cheney campaign is taking dead aim at the newly registered voters in Ohio. How? Ohio election law gives them an opening, and Ohio's Republican secretary of state is doing his best Katherine Harris impersonation in order to plow a Mack truck through it.
My mother's super predictive voting behavior is sometimes just plain scary. As I expected, she has grown tired of watching the debates...she didn't watch the second Kerry-Bush debate, and says she will not watch the third. Despite getting more mail from ACT, she hasn't commented on it, either here or otherwise. She is disengaging.
If you were one to panic...here's a whopper. Eric Fingerhut, running against Republican George Voinovich, is currently polling at around 34% to Voinovich's 64%. Is it a drag on John Kerry? Who knows. Such numbers, bad as they sound, Ohio D's are used to seeing with depressing regularity.
There's been a lot of talk about how 2004 is the year of the blog, and how bloggers are having this huge effect on the campaign. It's amazing how quickly such influence can be squandered on complete lunacy.
Who said that C-SPAN was boring? I can't really recall when I last heard spontaneous applause erupt in the US House chamber, let alone in support of a FRESHMAN...
I got tired of hearing the same thing over and over again. You did this and you did this and you didn't do this and you didn't do this.. ... I was board to death... And another thing... Answer the question... Don't go back to the last question... I don't think they are helping me at all to make my decision for what candidate to vote for .
As a Case Western Reserve University Law School grad, here's hoping that the trial lawyer on campus Tuesday night does us all proud. Note to reporters....best place to get a beer on campus is called the Barking Spider, right behind the coffee house on Juniper. Hard to find, but definitely a can't miss.
The reason I am so undecided is that I like somethings Bush stands for and somethings Kerry stands for. I like that Bush is strong when it comes to terrorists. I like the fact that he stands up to Korea and anyone else who wants a part of the USA.... I believe you have to be that way or these countries will walk all over you.. Be stronger and firm and willing to negotiate.....
Both men came across as very knowledgeable and intelligent. I wish I could clone my candidate and take what I like about each and make my own candidate.... Unrealistic! Maybe, but they both are great men and only time will tell who will win and be able to put their plan in motion and succeed at it.....
What do you think this debate about national security is going to prove????? Nothing
The mainstream media is starting to wake up to the reality on the ground in the swing states. Analyzing Ohio and Florida new voter registrations, the New York Times did a story today which essentially confirms what a lot of us have realized for a very long time...there are more D's than R's out there, and D's are registering to vote in far greater numbers than R's, often at rates more than triple the rate of R registrations.
When you read stuff like this, it's hard to imagine Bush winning Ohio.
The election has gone loopy. Votergasm.com asks everyone to pledge to have sex with a voter on election night—and withhold sex from non-voters until the next presidential election.
Saturday evening I received a visit from a Kerry volunteer handing out literature and asking for my vote.... I told her I was still undecided and wished the ticket was reversed, Edwards for President not Kerry... I can't explain it I just don't like Kerry... If Edwards was top man I would be voting for him, Not undecided.....
Wild swings in polls giving you whiplash? Ohio has a recent history of this.
Apparently, GW is writing off Ohio. In Denver the other day, he said after being introduced by John Elway at a rally, and I quote, "I'm proud to be introduced by the man who led The Drive."
The Kerry campaign in Ohio is building its database of volunteer lawyers for...you guessed it...electoral shenanigans on election day. Word is that an army of attorneys will be ready, motions for injunctions in hand, should the shit hit the fan here on November 2.
Someone asked me today why I haven't been able to sway my mother's undecidedness. Good question.
Is it just me, or does Fox coverage of the NFL rely way too much on the graphics, bells, and whistles? The swishing noises, the blinking lights on the score updates, the endless other extraneous crap all over the TV screen...is it too much to ask that we just see the games?
One of my neighbors found an old "I Like Ike" button in the street in front of my apartment in Tremont. On the back rim was written "Kleenex Tissues '68" on it. Anybody know what this might be? Surely, Ike wasn't running for president in 1968...was it a trinket to be found in Kleenex boxes in 1968?
Just got a look at Mom's piece from ACT, her second in three weeks from ACT on health care. An Ohio nurse looks plaintively out of the front panel hitting hard, saying, "George Bush had a chance to bring down health care costs, but he gave huge tax cuts to drug companies instead."
Many thanks to Mom for keeping the blog going while I was out on tour with the Dave Matthews Band registering voters. Our team was great...we enfranchised over 3000 people in our three week tour....and got to see 13 Dave shows thrown in for good measure.
How about that Democratic speaking at the Republican Convention... He certainly got my attention....... Chaney is very dull, somewhat like Kerry.. . I wish they had nominated Edwards I would not be so undecided yet. We must come across strong and decisive with the terrorists and all who want to take on the USA.........And I believe Bush will do just that, be strong and tolerate no crap from anyone.
How about Arnold? He almost had me convinced to vote for Bush.. But then came the Bush girls. How immature !!! I stopped watching them and came back when Laura Bush was speaking. I like her, she sounded sincere.
In the mail today I received from Act a mailing about (ten by eight size mailing literature) prescription drugs. Asking me to contact my state representative and state senator and tell them to support legislation to allow Ohioans to go to Canada for lower cost prescriptions, and other health care issues..
Did her tell the truth? Only he and God know the truth... If he did or did not, what difference dose it make, as I said before you have to walk in that persons shoes to judge them, and I believe he served our country by going to fight in V. N. ... All these things from the past , are just that, the past.... We learn from our mistakes. If we all did a lot less judging and a lot more positive thoughts, we all would be better off.
My son wanted to know if I had a candidate for president come to my home if I would ask him in... Yes I would ask him in, and offer him something to drink.. This doesn't mean he would get my vote... Just coming to visit little old me will not get my vote.. Thanks for coming but no vote.
Anyone got any predictions for the outcome in Ohio? Particularly interested in Ohioans who know the counties, and care to place a wager on a particular county. My personal prediction to get things started...Mom Russo will stay undecided until Halloween. (also, I think Kerry will win Franklin County.)
Being on the road as much as I have lately, in rural western hinterlands, radio options are minimal. Rush Limbaugh is everywhere. You can sense the desperation in his voice, especially on national security issues and Kerry's war record.
What is the big deal about any candidates military service? All you people who are concerned about this, should put yourself in their shoes... Until you can walk in their shoes and fight like our military is doing right now in Iraq... I believe your voices fall on deaf ears...
The Washington Post is running a contest for the Best Political Blogs...VOTE FOR ME! You can nominate my blog at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-adv/marketing/blog/.
Would I invite the candidates to my home for a dessert? NO... They should invite me to their homes and make sure I have a way to get to their homes... I am one of the little people who will have to work forever just to pay for my insurance and prescriptions, so I don't have extra..
Woke up this morning and saw that CNN has Kerry up by 10...hmmm. Not sure this is for real. Such a lead is unusually one-sided this early.
Mom's great....her general comments below on the election. Someone convince her!
Not one of our candidates has convinced me to vote for them...
Curious why the blog is a bit dusty lately? I'm on the road, baby.
A great site for political junkies with broadband...The Living Room Candidate is an online exhibition by the American Museum of the Moving Image. You can watch every single presidential campaign ad ever...I think. Doesn't appear that they are keeping track of every 527 ad...but hey, nobody's perfect. It's quite a walk through American history.
Mom's postings are totally unprompted, unedited, and unscripted...which makes sense, because she's UNdecided. She gets a piece of mail, looks at it, then types what pops into her head. I'll type a bit more on each piece...that technical strategic mumbo jumbo all you political junkies crave.
ACT goes after Bush on the prescription drug plan and other health care issues, with the theme "Ohio Real Stories", featuring a picture of a very Ohio looking middle aged woman on the front who may or may not be from Ohio, but who's been laid off. It also solicits contributions. The piece arrived on Thursday, Aug. 12. It was a square glossy, folded, four panel, full color piece...not cheap. Paid for by ACT.
It is sad that we Medicare patients have to go to CANADA.... If Bush and Kerry would contribute their campaign money to the prescription plan instead of traveling all over the country we Medicare patients would not have to go to CANADA....
Someone must be reading this blog...only days after noting that the perfectly predictive Ohio swing voter, Mom Russo, has yet to see a piece of campaign literature or direct mail, THE FIRST PIECE ARRIVES!
Trying out a new template on the blog...the white background is a bit easier to read and print. Got some complaints that the blue background was unhelpful for printing. Comments welcome.
If the Three Stooges did an episode where Curly ran for President, it would look a lot like the Cuyahoga County Democratic Party.
The Organization for Security & Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) has been invited by the State Department to send an observation mission for the Nov. 2 election in the US. It's tempting to see this as a cave in to pressure from D's in Congress. Think again.
Sunday, August 8th's Columbus Dispatch has Bush at 47, Kerry at 44, Nader at 2, with a hefty 7 percent undecided.
Been getting a little flak for taking shots at D's as well as R's. Interestingly, one of the big blogs on the block, mydd.com, commented on the lack of moderate blogs in the upper echelons of the blogosphere.
The PD has compiled a list of appearances and major rallies in Ohio by Kerry and Bush...you can see it online, but like much of what the PD does, the story as it appears online is pretty lame. In the "actions speak louder than words" category, the list tells quite a tale.
Ohio's Democratic US Senate candidate, State Senator Eric Fingerhut, is embarking on a tour of Ohio...on foot. Eric will walk from Cincinnati to Columbus to Cleveland. You can track his progress at www.walkohio.com.
The perfect predictor of Ohio voting patterns, undecided Ohio swing voter Mom Russo, caught a story on the news about Kerry and Bush holding events at the same hour in Davenport, Iowa. The story noted that the mayor of Davenport, a Republican, is still undecided.
Websites about Ohio's role in the 2004 presidential election are popping up like dandelions. Two that have caught my eye are MakeOhioBlue, and Bring Ohio Back.
It is really quite amazing how much early polling is readily available this year for Ohio. Just spend 10 minutes roaming the internet for polls...you will be overwhelmed. There's a good site that brings swing state Zogby polling together, check it out.
Many among the landed punditry have been busily prescribing how Kerry or Bush could win Ohio. Who's right? There's really only one way.
Since blogging about the ill-concieved Bush attack piece on abortion that appeared in Cleveland media markets almost two weeks ago, I've only seen it appear once...could it be that it backfired? In exactly the way that I predicted? Hmmmm....
The internet has changed political fundraising so dramatically, it now seems quaint to hear about a major presidential candidate holding a big dollar fundraising dinner. GW Bush is still spending a lot of time doing just that.
The Kerry-Edwards ticket aren't the only folks on their way to Ohio. Tourism to Ohio will spike this fall...at least according to a PD story today, which notes from the convention in Boston that people from all over the country are planning bus trips to Ohio to help the Kerry-Edwards ticket, because one said, Ohio's where the next president will be chosen.
Been making a point to catch Jerry Springer's dispatches from the convention in Boston on Channel 19 here in Cleveland. Needs work.
Is it just me, or is the commentary from network analysts in Boston for the convention this year simply awful? You can understand why these guys are so easily spun...they're morons.
Jerry Springer isn't the only Ohio Delegate getting major airtime this week in Boston. The youngest delegate (at 17) happens to be from Ohio, happens to be cute as hell, and is plastered all over the 24 hour news cycle.
Jerry Springer is doing a good job of branding this year's convention in Boston. Last night, Springer made his first broadcast from the floor for Cleveland's CBS affiliate Channel 19. He was on stage at the Rock The Vote event last night near Fenway.
Much is being made of the "toning down" of the convention rhetoric in Boston. As this blog has shown, I like a good Bush bash as much as the next guy...but staying positive, especially in a place like Ohio, does work.
Some readers complained about the non-collegial, fictional, often profane satire tone of the blog lately...now that I've vented, let's try polite on for size, shall we?
I have a lady friend who's married to an intransigent non-voter...let's call him Squiggy.
My hyper-predictive Ohio focus group, i.e., my Mom, watches a lot of TV. Typical middle America stuff. News. Weather. Soaps. (she tapes those) Tribe games. The occasional episode of 60 Minutes. Wheel of Fortune. Everybody Loves Raymond, Trading Spaces, Emeril....you know the drill.
OhioCountdown2004 has received exclusive access to the terms agreed between John Kerry and Dennis Kucinich. Dennis drove a hard bargain.
In yet another sign of Ohio's importance in this year's election, a plane load of cheap hookers, its fuselage painted with "Bush Cheney 04", landed at Cleveland Hopkins International Airport last night.
Thanks to everyone who's posted comments. Some responses...
Word is the Kerry Campaign has hired a new person to run the operation in center-of-the-political-universe Cuyahoga County, (the Cleveland area for you non-Ohioans). Is it another false start?
An ad on 60 Minutes is the most expensive piece of advertising real estate in prime time. If you place a buy on 60 Minutes, it had better be effective. On that measure, the latest Bush ad buy in Northeast Ohio is a complete waste of money, in more ways than it is possible to count.
The first signs of true panic among Republicans are starting to show among members of Congress and Senators up for re-election. Ohio's Senator George Voinovich, who up to now has been seen as a shoe in for re-election in 2004, this week blasted the Bush administration on trade, from the Senate floor itself.
Score one for the OhioCountdown2004...fuck yeah! Paul Fucking Begala on CNN's Fucking Crossfire has started referring to "Dick F-Word Cheney" as often as fuck.
As covered by The Onion..."Neil Armstrong's Historic First Words On Moon: HOLY LIVING FUCK!"
Jerry Springer, Ohio Democrat of The Year, and delegate to the convention in Boston, will be covering the convention for the local TV news version of the National Enquirer. Story here.
The utter impotence of labor unions in political campaigns might be the Democrats' best kept secret. Thanks to the importance of the 2004 election, we are beginning to measure just how worthless labor support actually may be.
As the Cavaliers/Boozer fiasco descends into the shameful, one wonders where it lands among the all-time Cleveland sports nightmares.